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2019 MWC Preview

MWC · Steve Poyner · July 18, 2019

Mountain Division

Place Team Win-Share (Conf) Record (Conf) Rating
1 Boise St Broncos 9.6 (6.9) 10-2 (7-1) 4.12
2 Utah State Aggies 6.4 (4.2) 8-4 (6-2) 3.45
3 Wyoming Cowboys 5.6 (3.5) 7-5 (5-3) 3.11
4 Air Force Falcons 6.1 (4.1) 7-5 (4-4) 3.33
5 Colorado St Rams 6.0 (3.9) 4-8 (3-5) 3.35
6 New Mexico Lobos 3.7 (2.2) 3-9 (1-7) 2.66

West Division

Place Team Win-Share (Conf) Record (Conf) Rating
1 San Diego St Aztecs 7.8 (5.2) 9-3 (6-2) 3.74
2 Fresno St Bulldogs 7.1 (4.7) 8-4 (5-3) 3.51
2 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 7.4 (4.6) 7-5 (5-3) 3.53
4 Nevada Wolfpack 5.4 (3.5) 5-7 (3-5) 3.10
5 UNLV Rebels 4.3 (2.6) 4-8 (2-6) 3.02
6 San Jose St Spartans 4.4 (2.6) 2-10 (1-7) 2.90

Championship Game

Boise St over San Diego St

Notes

Boise St like UCF is a team that with their schedule could end up as a Group of 5 Playoff team. They would have to run the gauntlet and hope FSU reclaimed past glory (top 25 at least). As well as hoping 1-2 more of their opponents finished with 10 or 11 wins. Their chances are less than UCF, but they aren't zero.

I expect Boise to be a top 25 team by season's end and San Diego St to hover around the top 25 for much of the season (although not finish in it or receiving votes).

Should be a good year for the Mountain West. No NY6 bowl however. 7 bowl eligible teams.

Bowl Projections

Team Bowl Projection
Boise St Las Vegas Bowl
San Diego St Idaho Potato Bowl
Fresno St New Mexico Bowl
Utah St Arizona
Hawaii Hawaii
Wyoming Frisco Bowl
Air Force Armed Forces Bowl
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