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Week 1-2018

2018 Games · Steve Poyner · August 30, 2018

Last year I was correct on 67% of the picks (both big games and all games). I'll look to build on that success this year. Also this year I will put down the formula's picks ATS, as well as compare the Formula's Straight Up picks for all games with my own.

Big Games — Games between Ranked opponents, each Power 5 conference's biggest game, and the biggest game for Group of 5.

Big Games

  1. Florida Atlantic @ 13 Oklahoma (-20.5) — FAU has a very potent offense with an NFL caliber running back. Oklahoma has a porous defense. This should be a high scoring affair, and FAU will keep it closer than many expect. My Pick: OU 41 – FAU 35 (FAU +20.5). Formula: Oklahoma SU.
  2. 18 Tennessee v West Virginia (-10) — New coach for Tennessee and a Heisman candidate at QB for WVU. My Pick: WVU 31 – Tenn 28. Formula: Tennessee SU.
  3. San Diego St @ 10 Stanford (-14) — Stanford returns a good amount including a Heisman candidate at RB. My Pick: Stanford 34 – SDSU 21. Formula: Stanford SU.
  4. 8 Washington v 7 Auburn (-2) — Perhaps the biggest game of the day. Both were in the Playoff Hunt last year. Comes down to which offense finds consistency. My Pick: Auburn 27 – Washington 24. Formula: Auburn SU.
  5. Boise St (-10.5) @ Troy — Two of the better Group of 5 teams. My Pick: Boise St 28 – Troy 24. Formula: Boise St SU.
  6. 9 Michigan @ 19 Notre Dame (-1) — The old rivalry is back. Both defenses should be top 20. My Pick: Notre Dame 21 – Michigan 17. Formula: Michigan SU.
  7. 23 Miami (-3.5) v 14 LSU — Both teams had good defenses last year. My Pick: Miami 24 – LSU 17. Formula: LSU SU.
  8. Virginia Tech @ 5 FSU (-7.5) — How will FSU look with a new coach and schemes? Should see a vastly improved FSU team. My Pick: FSU 31 – VT 21. Formula: FSU SU.

The Rest (My Pick / Formula)

  1. Appalachian St @ 3 Penn St — Penn St SU
  2. Wake Forest @ Tulane — Wake SU
  3. Syracuse @ Western Michigan — Cuse SU
  4. Army @ Duke — Duke SU
  5. UMASS @ BC — BC SU
  6. UNC @ Cal — Cal SU
  7. Louisville @ 1 Alabama — Bama SU
  8. 24 UCF @ UCONN — UCF SU
  9. Houston @ Rice — Houston SU
  10. Cincinnati @ 25 UCLA — UCLA SU
  11. SMU @ North Texas — SMU SU
  12. Navy @ Hawaii — Navy SU
  13. 17 Texas v Maryland — Texas SU
  14. Ole Miss v Texas Tech — Ole Miss SU
  15. New Mexico St @ Minnesota — Minnesota SU
  16. Northwestern @ Purdue — Purdue SU (Formula: Northwestern)
  17. Utah St @ 20 Michigan St — MSU SU
  18. Western Kentucky @ 6 Wisconsin — Wisconsin SU
  19. Oregon St @ 11 Ohio St — Ohio St SU
  20. Kent St @ Illinois — Illinois SU
  21. Texas St @ Rutgers — Rutgers SU
  22. Northern Illinois @ Iowa — Iowa SU
  23. Indiana @ FIU — Indiana SU
  24. Akron @ Nebraska — Nebraska SU
  25. Marshall @ Miami (Oh) — Marshall SU
  26. Old Dominion — ODU SU
  27. Louisiana Tech @ South Alabama — USA SU (Formula: LT)
  28. Middle Tennessee St @ Vanderbilt — MTSU SU (Formula: Vandy)
  29. UTSA @ Arizona St — ASU SU
  30. BYU @ Arizona — Arizona SU
  31. Central Michigan @ Kentucky — Kentucky SU
  32. Bowling Green @ Oregon — Oregon SU
  33. Colorado @ Colorado St — CU SU
  34. Washington St @ Wyoming — Wyoming SU (Formula: WSU)
  35. UNLV @ USC — USC SU
  36. Coastal Carolina @ South Carolina — So Car SU

Have fun watching the games! Isn't it great to have Football back!

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